Opener Lab

CARLE vs SAINT

See which word leaves you with the easier game.

CARLE leads in the current bounded six-turn policy

Both words are in the current screen of 182 openers, tested against 2,358 answers. Exact misses rank first; average guesses among wins break ties.

The same solver played from both openers. CARLE has the lower average in games solved within six: 3.46 guesses to 3.47 for SAINT.

Looking only at the opening row, CARLE has higher entropy (5.76 bits versus 5.51). That describes first-guess separation, not the full solve on its own.

Against 1,858 past Wordle answers, CARLE left the smaller first-guess group on 54% of dates; SAINT did so on 46%, with the rest tied.

MetricCARLESAINT
Elimination96.7%95.5%
Information5.76 bits5.51 bits
Avg remaining77 words106 words
Avg turns3.463.47
Missed in six00
Win rate100.0%100.0%
TierAA

Head to head on past answers

We tried both openers against 1,858 past Wordle answers and counted which one left fewer possibilities after the first guess.

995 CARLE ahead (54%)
8 Ties (0%)
855 SAINT ahead (46%)

Across those answers, CARLE left an average of 74 candidates and SAINT an average of 108.

The most recent test was Wordle #1857 on July 20, 2026, when the answer was DIVER. CARLE came back ⬛⬛🟨⬛🟨 and kept 130 words in play. SAINT came back ⬛⬛🟨⬛⬛ and kept 104 words.

What to expect from the first guess

OutcomeCARLESAINT
First-turn solve* 0% 0.04%
At least one green 43.9% 46.6%
Any green or yellow 89.1% 85.2%
Whole row gray 10.9% 14.8%
Worst case answers left 258 350

*Treating every word in the possible-answer list as equally likely.

A fully gray row is rarer with CARLE: it happens 10.9% of the time, against 14.8% for SAINT.

CARLE is not on the possible-answer list, so it cannot solve the game on turn one here. It can still be a useful guess.

Planning the second guess

After CARLE

All five letters miss 10.9% of the time, leaving 258 words in play. Of the 758 follow-ups checked here, SNOUT leaves the fewest possible answers on average (6.2).

After SAINT

All five letters miss 14.8% of the time, leaving 350 words in play. Of the 850 follow-ups checked here, DROLE leaves the fewest possible answers on average (8.2).

How these two openers fit together

CARLE and SAINT overlap on a single letter (A), so the pair tests 9 different letters between them.

Played back to back, CARLE then SAINT earns 9.14 bits of information in total, 3.38 bits more than the better word manages alone.

Past Wordle answers

  • CARLE: Has not been a past Wordle answer in this site's history.
  • SAINT: Answer to Wordle #460 on September 22, 2022. CARLE would have come back ⬛🟩⬛⬛⬛ that day, leaving 80 possible answers.

Common questions

Which is a better starting word: CARLE or SAINT?
In the current bounded policy screen, CARLE has the lower average in games the solver finished within six: 3.46 guesses versus 3.47 for SAINT. The same solver played from both words.
What does entropy mean for CARLE vs SAINT?
Entropy measures the information in the distribution of feedback outcomes. CARLE records 5.76 bits and SAINT records 5.51 bits. CARLE has the higher score, so its feedback distribution separates the possible answers more effectively on average. Entropy describes the opening row; it does not by itself predict how many guesses a game will take.
How do CARLE and SAINT score against past Wordle answers?
Across 1,858 past Wordle answers, CARLE left fewer possible answers than SAINT on 54% of days, SAINT did better on 46%, and the rest were ties. On average, CARLE left 74 candidates after the first guess and SAINT left 108.