Opener Lab

FLOAT vs TRACE

See which word leaves you with the easier game.

TRACE leads in the previous complete six-turn benchmark

These game-length figures come from the previous complete opener benchmark against its 2,354-answer snapshot, ranked by average guesses among games solved within six. Its answer snapshot and continuation policy are separate from today's solver recommendations.

The same solver played from both openers. TRACE has the lower average in games solved within six: 3.53 guesses to 3.61 for FLOAT.

Looking only at the opening row, TRACE has higher entropy (5.82 bits versus 4.98). That describes first-guess separation, not the full solve on its own.

MetricFLOATTRACE
Elimination93.9%96.8%
Information4.98 bits5.82 bits
Avg remaining143 words76 words
Avg turns3.613.53
Win rate99.9%99.9%
TierBS

What to expect from the first guess

OutcomeFLOATTRACE
First-turn solve* 0.04% 0.04%
At least one green 35.1% 42.1%
Any green or yellow 84.0% 89.2%
Whole row gray 16.0% 10.8%
Worst case answers left 377 254

*Treating every word in the possible-answer list as equally likely.

A fully gray row is rarer with TRACE: it happens 10.8% of the time, against 16.0% for FLOAT.

How these two openers fit together

FLOAT and TRACE share 2 letters (A, T). Played as a pair they cover 8 distinct letters, which still gives the second word room to do useful work.

Played back to back, FLOAT then TRACE earns 8.26 bits of information in total, 2.44 bits more than the better word manages alone.

Past Wordle answers

  • FLOAT: Answer to the puzzle on June 12, 2022.
  • TRACE: Answer to the puzzle on December 15, 2021.