Opener Lab

Compare MATCH

Pick a word to compare against.

MATCH C
90.4%
of words eliminated

How MATCH performs

Played first, MATCH removes about 90.4% of the possible-answer list on average and scores 4.58 bits of information. Roughly 28% of the time at least one letter lands in the right spot.

Tried against 1,859 past Wordle answers, MATCH left an average of 222 possible answers standing after the first guess. Its largest group in that replay came on July 20, 2026, when the answer was DIVER and 597 candidates survived. It has been the daily answer once.

First-guess odds

OutcomeMATCH
First-turn solve*0.04%
At least one green27.6%
Any green or yellow74.7%
Whole row gray25.3%
Worst case answers left597

*Treating every word in the possible-answer list as equally likely.