Opener Lab

MICHT vs TRACE

See which word leaves you with the easier game.

TRACE leads in the previous complete six-turn benchmark

These game-length figures come from the previous complete opener benchmark against its 2,354-answer snapshot, ranked by average guesses among games solved within six. Its answer snapshot and continuation policy are separate from today's solver recommendations.

The same solver played from both openers. TRACE has the lower average in games solved within six: 3.53 guesses to 3.66 for MICHT.

Looking only at the opening row, TRACE has higher entropy (5.82 bits versus 4.32). That describes first-guess separation, not the full solve on its own.

MetricMICHTTRACE
Elimination88.9%96.8%
Information4.32 bits5.82 bits
Avg remaining263 words76 words
Avg turns3.663.53
Win rate100.0%99.9%
TierCS

What to expect from the first guess

OutcomeMICHTTRACE
First-turn solve* 0% 0.04%
At least one green 24.5% 42.1%
Any green or yellow 71.3% 89.2%
Whole row gray 28.7% 10.8%
Worst case answers left 677 254

*Treating every word in the possible-answer list as equally likely.

A fully gray row is rarer with TRACE: it happens 10.8% of the time, against 28.7% for MICHT.

MICHT is not on the possible-answer list, so it cannot solve the game on turn one here. It can still be a useful guess.

How these two openers fit together

MICHT and TRACE share 2 letters (C, T). Played as a pair they cover 8 distinct letters, which still gives the second word room to do useful work.

Played back to back, MICHT then TRACE earns 7.99 bits of information in total, 2.17 bits more than the better word manages alone.

Past Wordle answers

  • MICHT: Has not been a past Wordle answer in this site's history.
  • TRACE: Answer to the puzzle on December 15, 2021.