Opener Lab

Compare MODEL

Pick a word to compare against.

MODEL B
93.5%
of words eliminated

How MODEL performs

Played first, MODEL removes about 93.5% of the possible-answer list on average and scores 4.92 bits of information. Its first-turn information ranks #3,107 out of 14,855 Wordle guesses tested. Roughly 33% of the time at least one letter lands in the right spot.

Tried against 1,858 past Wordle answers, MODEL left an average of 150 possible answers standing after the first guess. Its largest group in that replay came on July 19, 2026, when the answer was CHURN and 388 candidates survived. It has been the daily answer once.

First-guess odds

OutcomeMODEL
First-turn solve*0.04%
At least one green32.7%
Any green or yellow83.5%
Whole row gray16.5%
Worst case answers left388

*Treating every word in the possible-answer list as equally likely.