Opener Lab
SAINT vs TRACE
See which word leaves you with the easier game.
Both words are in the current screen of 182 openers, tested against 2,358 answers. Exact misses rank first; average guesses among wins break ties.
The same solver played from both openers. TRACE has the lower average in games solved within six: 3.46 guesses to 3.47 for SAINT.
Looking only at the opening row, TRACE has higher entropy (5.82 bits versus 5.51). That describes first-guess separation, not the full solve on its own.
Against 1,858 past Wordle answers, TRACE left the smaller first-guess group on 56% of dates; SAINT did so on 43%, with the rest tied.
| Metric | SAINT | TRACE |
|---|---|---|
| Elimination | 95.5% | 96.8% |
| Information | 5.51 bits | 5.82 bits |
| Avg remaining | 106 words | 76 words |
| Avg turns | 3.47 | 3.46 |
| Missed in six | 0 | 0 |
| Win rate | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Tier | A | S |
Head to head on past answers
We tried both openers against 1,858 past Wordle answers and counted which one left fewer possibilities after the first guess.
Across those answers, SAINT left an average of 108 candidates and TRACE an average of 72.
The most recent test was Wordle #1857 on July 20, 2026, when the answer was DIVER. SAINT came back ⬛⬛🟨⬛⬛ and kept 104 words in play. TRACE came back ⬛🟨⬛⬛🟨 and kept 117 words.
What to expect from the first guess
| Outcome | SAINT | TRACE |
|---|---|---|
| First-turn solve* | 0.04% | 0.04% |
| At least one green | 46.6% | 42.1% |
| Any green or yellow | 85.2% | 89.3% |
| Whole row gray | 14.8% | 10.7% |
| Worst case answers left | 350 | 253 |
*Treating every word in the possible-answer list as equally likely.
A fully gray row is rarer with TRACE: it happens 10.7% of the time, against 14.8% for SAINT.
Planning the second guess
After SAINT
All five letters miss 14.8% of the time, leaving 350 words in play. Of the 850 follow-ups checked here, DROLE leaves the fewest possible answers on average (8.2).
After TRACE
All five letters miss 10.7% of the time, leaving 253 words in play. Of the 753 follow-ups checked here, SOILY leaves the fewest possible answers on average (7.1).
How these two openers fit together
SAINT and TRACE share 2 letters (A, T). Played as a pair they cover 8 distinct letters, which still gives the second word room to do useful work.
Played back to back, SAINT then TRACE earns 8.67 bits of information in total, 2.84 bits more than the better word manages alone.
Past Wordle answers
- SAINT: Answer to Wordle #460 on September 22, 2022. TRACE would have come back 🟨⬛🟨⬛⬛ that day, leaving 54 possible answers.
- TRACE: Answer to Wordle #179 on December 15, 2021. SAINT would have come back ⬛🟨⬛⬛🟨 that day, leaving 44 possible answers.
Common questions
- Which is a better starting word: SAINT or TRACE?
- In the current bounded policy screen, TRACE has the lower average in games the solver finished within six: 3.46 guesses versus 3.47 for SAINT. The same solver played from both words.
- What does entropy mean for SAINT vs TRACE?
- Entropy measures the information in the distribution of feedback outcomes. SAINT records 5.51 bits and TRACE records 5.82 bits. TRACE has the higher score, so its feedback distribution separates the possible answers more effectively on average. Entropy describes the opening row; it does not by itself predict how many guesses a game will take.
- How do SAINT and TRACE score against past Wordle answers?
- Across 1,858 past Wordle answers, SAINT left fewer possible answers than TRACE on 43% of days, TRACE did better on 56%, and the rest were ties. On average, SAINT left 108 candidates after the first guess and TRACE left 72.