Opener Lab
Compare SMUGS
Pick a word to compare against.
How SMUGS performs
Played first, SMUGS removes about 78.5% of the possible-answer list on average and scores 3.38 bits of information. It is not on the possible-answer list, but it can still be useful because of the feedback groups it creates.
Tried against 1,859 past Wordle answers, SMUGS left an average of 521 possible answers standing after the first guess. Its largest group in that replay came on July 20, 2026, when the answer was DIVER and 1018 candidates survived.
First-guess odds
| Outcome | SMUGS |
|---|---|
| First-turn solve* | 0% |
| At least one green | 26.6% |
| Any green or yellow | 56.8% |
| Whole row gray | 43.2% |
| Worst case answers left | 1018 |
*Treating every word in the possible-answer list as equally likely.