Opener Lab

ATONE vs TRACE

See which word leaves you with the easier game.

TRACE leads in the current bounded six-turn policy

Both words are in the current screen of 182 openers, tested against 2,358 answers. Exact misses rank first; average guesses among wins break ties.

The same solver played from both openers. TRACE has the lower average in games solved within six: 3.46 guesses to 3.53 for ATONE.

Looking only at the opening row, TRACE has higher entropy (5.82 bits versus 5.56). That describes first-guess separation, not the full solve on its own.

One thing ATONE does better is damage control. Its worst feedback pattern leaves 194 possible answers, while TRACE can be left staring at 253.

MetricATONETRACE
Elimination96.6%96.8%
Information5.56 bits5.82 bits
Avg remaining80 words76 words
Avg turns3.533.46
Missed in six00
Win rate100.0%100.0%
TierAS

What to expect from the first guess

OutcomeATONETRACE
First-turn solve* 0.04% 0.04%
At least one green 37.2% 42.1%
Any green or yellow 91.8% 89.3%
Whole row gray 8.2% 10.7%
Worst case answers left 194 253

*Treating every word in the possible-answer list as equally likely.

A fully gray row is rarer with ATONE: it happens 8.2% of the time, against 10.7% for TRACE.

How these two openers fit together

ATONE and TRACE share 3 letters (A, E, T). Played as a pair they cover 7 distinct letters, which still gives the second word room to do useful work.

Played back to back, ATONE then TRACE earns 7.78 bits of information in total, 1.96 bits more than the better word manages alone.

Past Wordle answers

  • ATONE: Answer to the puzzle on June 14, 2022.
  • TRACE: Answer to the puzzle on December 15, 2021.