Opener Lab

CANOE vs TRACE

See which word leaves you with the easier game.

TRACE leads in the previous complete six-turn benchmark

These game-length figures come from the previous complete opener benchmark against its 2,354-answer snapshot, ranked by average guesses among games solved within six. Its answer snapshot and continuation policy are separate from today's solver recommendations.

The same solver played from both openers. TRACE has the lower average in games solved within six: 3.53 guesses to 3.60 for CANOE.

Looking only at the opening row, TRACE has higher entropy (5.82 bits versus 5.51). That describes first-guess separation, not the full solve on its own.

One thing CANOE does better is damage control. Its worst feedback pattern leaves 221 possible answers, while TRACE can be left staring at 253.

MetricCANOETRACE
Elimination96.2%96.8%
Information5.51 bits5.82 bits
Avg remaining89 words76 words
Avg turns3.603.53
Win rate100.0%99.9%
TierAS

What to expect from the first guess

OutcomeCANOETRACE
First-turn solve* 0.04% 0.04%
At least one green 42.8% 42.1%
Any green or yellow 90.6% 89.3%
Whole row gray 9.4% 10.7%
Worst case answers left 221 253

*Treating every word in the possible-answer list as equally likely.

A fully gray row is rarer with CANOE: it happens 9.4% of the time, against 10.7% for TRACE.

How these two openers fit together

CANOE and TRACE share 3 letters (A, C, E). Played as a pair they cover 7 distinct letters, which still gives the second word room to do useful work.

Played back to back, CANOE then TRACE earns 7.78 bits of information in total, 1.96 bits more than the better word manages alone.

Past Wordle answers

  • CANOE: Answer to the puzzle on May 15, 2023.
  • TRACE: Answer to the puzzle on December 15, 2021.