Opener Lab

CARON vs TRACE

See which word leaves you with the easier game.

TRACE leads in the current bounded six-turn policy

Both words are in the current screen of 182 openers, tested against 2,358 answers. Exact misses rank first; average guesses among wins break ties.

The same solver played from both openers. TRACE has the lower average in games solved within six: 3.46 guesses to 3.49 for CARON.

Looking only at the opening row, TRACE has higher entropy (5.82 bits versus 5.32). That describes first-guess separation, not the full solve on its own.

MetricCARONTRACE
Elimination95.3%96.8%
Information5.32 bits5.82 bits
Avg remaining112 words76 words
Avg turns3.493.46
Missed in six00
Win rate100.0%100.0%
TierBS

What to expect from the first guess

OutcomeCARONTRACE
First-turn solve* 0% 0.04%
At least one green 33.2% 42.1%
Any green or yellow 86.5% 89.3%
Whole row gray 13.5% 10.7%
Worst case answers left 319 253

*Treating every word in the possible-answer list as equally likely.

A fully gray row is rarer with TRACE: it happens 10.7% of the time, against 13.5% for CARON.

CARON is not on the possible-answer list, so it cannot solve the game on turn one here. It can still be a useful guess.

How these two openers fit together

CARON and TRACE share 3 letters (A, C, R). Played as a pair they cover 7 distinct letters, which still gives the second word room to do useful work.

Played back to back, CARON then TRACE earns 7.91 bits of information in total, 2.08 bits more than the better word manages alone.

Past Wordle answers

  • CARON: Has not been a past Wordle answer in this site's history.
  • TRACE: Answer to the puzzle on December 15, 2021.