Opener Lab

EARTH vs TRACE

See which word leaves you with the easier game.

TRACE leads in the previous complete six-turn benchmark

These game-length figures come from the previous complete opener benchmark against its 2,354-answer snapshot, ranked by average guesses among games solved within six. Its answer snapshot and continuation policy are separate from today's solver recommendations.

The same solver played from both openers. TRACE has the lower average in games solved within six: 3.53 guesses to 3.60 for EARTH.

Looking only at the opening row, TRACE has higher entropy (5.82 bits versus 5.41). That describes first-guess separation, not the full solve on its own.

MetricEARTHTRACE
Elimination95.8%96.8%
Information5.41 bits5.82 bits
Avg remaining99 words76 words
Avg turns3.603.53
Win rate100.0%99.9%
TierAS

What to expect from the first guess

OutcomeEARTHTRACE
First-turn solve* 0.04% 0.04%
At least one green 29.4% 42.1%
Any green or yellow 88.6% 89.3%
Whole row gray 11.4% 10.7%
Worst case answers left 268 253

*Treating every word in the possible-answer list as equally likely.

Both openers come back completely gray at almost the same rate, so the difference between them lies in how much their hits actually tell you.

How these two openers fit together

EARTH and TRACE share 4 of their 5 letters (A, E, R, T), so as a pair they only cover 6 distinct letters. Treat them as alternatives rather than partners, because playing both wastes most of the second guess.

Played back to back, EARTH then TRACE earns 7.03 bits of information in total, 1.20 bits more than the better word manages alone.

Past Wordle answers

  • EARTH: Answer to the puzzle on July 11, 2023.
  • TRACE: Answer to the puzzle on December 15, 2021.