Opener Lab

EQUAL vs TRACE

See which word leaves you with the easier game.

TRACE leads in the previous complete six-turn benchmark

These game-length figures come from the previous complete opener benchmark against its 2,354-answer snapshot, ranked by average guesses among games solved within six. Its answer snapshot and continuation policy are separate from today's solver recommendations.

The same solver played from both openers. TRACE has the lower average in games solved within six: 3.53 guesses to 3.86 for EQUAL.

Looking only at the opening row, TRACE has higher entropy (5.82 bits versus 4.29). That describes first-guess separation, not the full solve on its own.

MetricEQUALTRACE
Elimination91.5%96.8%
Information4.29 bits5.82 bits
Avg remaining200 words76 words
Avg turns3.863.53
Win rate99.8%99.9%
TierCS

What to expect from the first guess

OutcomeEQUALTRACE
First-turn solve* 0.04% 0.04%
At least one green 20.9% 42.1%
Any green or yellow 85.9% 89.3%
Whole row gray 14.1% 10.7%
Worst case answers left 406 253

*Treating every word in the possible-answer list as equally likely.

A fully gray row is rarer with TRACE: it happens 10.7% of the time, against 14.1% for EQUAL.

How these two openers fit together

EQUAL and TRACE share 2 letters (A, E). Played as a pair they cover 8 distinct letters, which still gives the second word room to do useful work.

Played back to back, EQUAL then TRACE earns 7.68 bits of information in total, 1.86 bits more than the better word manages alone.

Past Wordle answers

  • EQUAL: Answer to the puzzle on October 13, 2022.
  • TRACE: Answer to the puzzle on December 15, 2021.