Opener Lab

MODEM vs TRACE

See which word leaves you with the easier game.

TRACE leads in the previous complete six-turn benchmark

These game-length figures come from the previous complete opener benchmark against its 2,354-answer snapshot, ranked by average guesses among games solved within six. Its answer snapshot and continuation policy are separate from today's solver recommendations.

The same solver played from both openers. TRACE has the lower average in games solved within six: 3.53 guesses to 3.82 for MODEM.

Looking only at the opening row, TRACE has higher entropy (5.82 bits versus 3.98). That describes first-guess separation, not the full solve on its own.

MetricMODEMTRACE
Elimination88.0%96.8%
Information3.98 bits5.82 bits
Avg remaining283 words76 words
Avg turns3.823.53
Win rate100.0%99.9%
TierFS

What to expect from the first guess

OutcomeMODEMTRACE
First-turn solve* 0.04% 0.04%
At least one green 29.8% 42.1%
Any green or yellow 75.1% 89.3%
Whole row gray 24.9% 10.7%
Worst case answers left 587 253

*Treating every word in the possible-answer list as equally likely.

A fully gray row is rarer with TRACE: it happens 10.7% of the time, against 24.9% for MODEM.

How these two openers fit together

MODEM and TRACE overlap on a single letter (E), so the pair tests 8 different letters between them.

Played back to back, MODEM then TRACE earns 8.12 bits of information in total, 2.30 bits more than the better word manages alone.

Past Wordle answers

  • MODEM: Answer to the puzzle on October 1, 2024.
  • TRACE: Answer to the puzzle on December 15, 2021.