Opener Lab

SAINE vs TRACE

See which word leaves you with the easier game.

TRACE leads in the current bounded six-turn policy

Both words are in the current screen of 182 openers, tested against 2,358 answers. Exact misses rank first; average guesses among wins break ties.

The same solver played from both openers. TRACE has the lower average in games solved within six: 3.46 guesses to 3.49 for SAINE.

Looking only at the opening row, TRACE has higher entropy (5.82 bits versus 5.77). That describes first-guess separation, not the full solve on its own.

One thing SAINE does better is damage control. Its worst feedback pattern leaves 211 possible answers, while TRACE can be left staring at 253.

MetricSAINETRACE
Elimination96.9%96.8%
Information5.77 bits5.82 bits
Avg remaining74 words76 words
Avg turns3.493.46
Missed in six00
Win rate100.0%100.0%
TierAS

What to expect from the first guess

OutcomeSAINETRACE
First-turn solve* 0% 0.04%
At least one green 50.1% 42.1%
Any green or yellow 91.1% 89.3%
Whole row gray 8.9% 10.7%
Worst case answers left 211 253

*Treating every word in the possible-answer list as equally likely.

A fully gray row is rarer with SAINE: it happens 8.9% of the time, against 10.7% for TRACE.

SAINE is not on the possible-answer list, so it cannot solve the game on turn one here. It can still be a useful guess.

How these two openers fit together

SAINE and TRACE share 2 letters (A, E). Played as a pair they cover 8 distinct letters, which still gives the second word room to do useful work.

Played back to back, SAINE then TRACE earns 8.54 bits of information in total, 2.72 bits more than the better word manages alone.

Past Wordle answers

  • SAINE: Has not been a past Wordle answer in this site's history.
  • TRACE: Answer to the puzzle on December 15, 2021.