Opener Lab

SIENT vs TRACE

See which word leaves you with the easier game.

TRACE leads in the current bounded six-turn policy

Both words are in the current screen of 182 openers, tested against 2,358 answers. Exact misses rank first; average guesses among wins break ties.

The same solver played from both openers. TRACE has the lower average in games solved within six: 3.46 guesses to 3.50 for SIENT.

Looking only at the opening row, TRACE has higher entropy (5.82 bits versus 5.48). That describes first-guess separation, not the full solve on its own.

MetricSIENTTRACE
Elimination95.3%96.8%
Information5.48 bits5.82 bits
Avg remaining111 words76 words
Avg turns3.503.46
Missed in six00
Win rate100.0%100.0%
TierAS

What to expect from the first guess

OutcomeSIENTTRACE
First-turn solve* 0% 0.04%
At least one green 40.6% 42.1%
Any green or yellow 86.8% 89.3%
Whole row gray 13.2% 10.7%
Worst case answers left 311 253

*Treating every word in the possible-answer list as equally likely.

A fully gray row is rarer with TRACE: it happens 10.7% of the time, against 13.2% for SIENT.

SIENT is not on the possible-answer list, so it cannot solve the game on turn one here. It can still be a useful guess.

How these two openers fit together

SIENT and TRACE share 2 letters (E, T). Played as a pair they cover 8 distinct letters, which still gives the second word room to do useful work.

Played back to back, SIENT then TRACE earns 8.62 bits of information in total, 2.80 bits more than the better word manages alone.

Past Wordle answers

  • SIENT: Has not been a past Wordle answer in this site's history.
  • TRACE: Answer to the puzzle on December 15, 2021.